[bars] Hams as % of population

Tue Sep 5 18:00:18 EDT 2023

I think you're starting to build something like a "Drake Equation" (
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Drake_equation) for hams.

I would sketch out:
L = country's population of licensed amateurs
A = percentage currently active
H = percentage active on HF
M = percentage active on the mode/band you're using
P = factor for propagation
T = compatibility of timezones
etc
Where the "presence level" you're feeling in on-air contact rates would be
something like P = L x A x H x M x P x T x ...

Another way to factor in to it would be aspects like relative prosperity
(to buy nice equipment), rate of home/land ownership (to put up substantial
antennas), or social factors like the prevalence of clubs (perhaps
supporting better facilities, or encouraging participation) or the
likelihood to organize contests, field days, etc.  These are
probably "orthogonal" to and would cut across the "activity level" factors
on the list above.

My gut feeling is that Italy, Spain, and Germany probably are in a sweet
spot of population, wealth, and geography/propagation related to
US-east-coast hams.  I would assume that Japanese contacts are a bigger
percentage of a US-west-coast ham's experience.

Interesting question to explore!
Adam KC1HSE

On Tue, Sep 5, 2023 at 2:06 PM Tom Walsh <k1tw at comcast.net> wrote:

> The IARU at one time kept an updated list of hams worldwide which is
> probably no easy task.  I am not sure that is available presently.
>
>
>
> Tom K1TW
>
>
>
> *From:* bars <bars-bounces at w1hh.org> *On Behalf Of *Kristie Connolly via
> bars
> *Sent:* Tuesday, September 5, 2023 12:07 PM
> *To:* Tim KC1RET <kc1ret.radio at gmail.com>; w1hh <bars at w1hh.org>
> *Subject:* Re: [bars] Hams as % of population
>
>
>
> https://www.city-data.com/aradio/lic-Bedford-Massachusetts.html
>
>
>
> Sent from Yahoo Mail for iPhone
> <https://mail.onelink.me/107872968?pid=nativeplacement&c=Global_Acquisition_YMktg_315_Internal_EmailSignature&af_sub1=Acquisition&af_sub2=Global_YMktg&af_sub3=&af_sub4=100000604&af_sub5=EmailSignature__Static_>
>
>
>
> On Tuesday, September 5, 2023, 12:06 PM, Kristie Connolly via bars <
> bars at w1hh.org> wrote:
>
> Hi Tim,
>
>
>
> I went through and counted only the ones that hadn’t expired yet.
>
> Sent from Yahoo Mail for iPhone
> <https://mail.onelink.me/107872968?pid=nativeplacement&c=Global_Acquisition_YMktg_315_Internal_EmailSignature&af_sub1=Acquisition&af_sub2=Global_YMktg&af_sub3=&af_sub4=100000604&af_sub5=EmailSignature__Static_>
>
>
>
> On Tuesday, September 5, 2023, 11:34 AM, Tim KC1RET <
> kc1ret.radio at gmail.com> wrote:
>
> Active or licensed?  Those numbers, sadly, can be quite different.
>
> 73,
>
> T.
>
> On 05-Sep-23 11:17, Kristie Connolly wrote:
>
> Hi Tim,
>
>
>
> That’s so cool. I have been looking for that information. I seem to work
> Brazil a fair amount.  It has mostly been the countries that you listed
> though.
>
> I just went through a website that has over 60 active Ham radio operators
> in Bedford, MA.
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
> Sent from Yahoo Mail for iPhone
> <https://mail.onelink.me/107872968?pid=nativeplacement&c=Global_Acquisition_YMktg_315_Internal_EmailSignature&af_sub1=Acquisition&af_sub2=Global_YMktg&af_sub3=&af_sub4=100000604&af_sub5=EmailSignature__Static_>
>
>
>
> On Tuesday, September 5, 2023, 10:37 AM, Tim KC1RET
> <kc1ret.radio at gmail.com> <kc1ret.radio at gmail.com> wrote:
>
> I was ruminating the other day about the relative percentage of hams in
> various countries.  I seem to work A LOT of Italians, Spaniards and
> Germans.  So a quick Google search led me to Wikipedia.  It has a listing
> of hams by country ( https://bit.ly/3sI2aeR ).
>
> The Top Ten by % of Population
>
> 10: United Kingdom:
>
> 0.114
>
> 9: New Zealand:
>
> 0.120
>
> 8: Norway: (seriously?)
>
> 0.125
>
> 7: Spain:
>
> 0.127
>
> 6: Thailand:
>
> 0.147
>
> 5: Denmark
>
> 0.152
>
> 4: Canada:
>
> 0.187
>
> 3: US:
>
> 0.233
>
> 2: Japan:
>
> 0.304
>
> 1: Slovenia:
>
> 0.317
>
>
> Germany was 15 at 0.073% and Italy 21 at 0.049%.
>
> Slovenia was a bit of a surprise but it is a small country so a relatively
> small population of hams (6,500 as of 2000) can tip the scale pretty
> easily.  Same with Norway with 6,818 hams as of 2022.  US had almost
> 780,000 as of 2021.
>
> So we hams are a relative rarity, population wise - approx. 1 in 500 in
> the US.  We are LEET! ( https://bit.ly/45DwgyC )
>
> 73,
>
> T.
>
> --
>
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> jack.
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> Tim Carter - KC1RET
>
>
>
>
>
> +1.978.710.0133
>
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>
> https://kc1ret.com
>
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> --
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> Courageously sent from a non-Apple device that *includes* a headphone
> jack.
> ------------------------------
>
> <https://kc1ret.com/img/kc1ret-qsl-card-front-v3.png>
> Tim Carter - KC1RET
>
>
>
>
>
> +1.978.710.0133
>
> kc1ret.radio at gmail.com
>
> https://kc1ret.com
>
> "Computers are incredibly fast, accurate and stupid; humans are incredibly
> slow, inaccurate and brilliant; together they are powerful beyond
> imagination." -- *Albert Einstein*
>
> Warning: Spelling errors in this message are the product of a poor school
> system. Pay teachures more than athletes.
> IMPORTANT: This email is intended for the use of the individual
> addressee(s) named above and may contain information that is confidential
> privileged or unsuitable for overly sensitive persons with low self-esteem,
> no sense of humor or irrational religious beliefs. If you are not the
> intended recipient, any dissemination, distribution or copying of this
> email is not authorized (either explicitly or implicitly) and constitutes
> an irritating social fauxpas. No animals were harmed in the transmission of
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